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  • clockwork
    08-07 12:06 AM
    Type 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

    EB1-All 41,672 34,168 14,453 31,291 64,731 36,960 26,697
    EB2-All 42,550 44,316 15,406 32,534 42,597 21,911 44,162
    EB3-All 85,847 88,002 46,415 85,969 129,070 89,922 85,030
    EB-All 179,195 174,968 82,137 155,330 246,878 159,081 155,889

    EB1-I 3,543 2,820 1,266 2,998 6,336 3,156 2,855
    EB2-I 21,355 21,310 8,536 16,262 16,687 3,720 6,203
    EB3-I 16,339 17,354 10,647 19,889 23,250 3,006 17,795
    EB-I 41,720 41,919 20,818 39,496 47,160 17,358 26,853

    Overall EB3 has got more numbers than EB2 in last 7 years for all and india specific grouping.

    Hi Sachug22,
    Some of the data you specified does not add up well. For example 2006 India, EB-total is 17,358 but 3,156+3,720+3,006 adds upto 9882.

    Any idea?

    Type 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

    EB1-All 41,672 34,168 14,453 31,291 64,731 36,960 26,697
    EB2-All 42,550 44,316 15,406 32,534 42,597 21,911 44,162
    EB3-All 85,847 88,002 46,415 85,969 129,070 89,922 85,030
    EB-All 179,195 174,968 82,137 155,330 246,878 159,081 155,889

    EB1-I 3,543 2,820 1,266 2,998 6,336 3,156 2,855
    EB2-I 21,355 21,310 8,536 16,262 16,687 3,720 6,203
    EB3-I 16,339 17,354 10,647 19,889 23,250 3,006 17,795
    EB-I 41,720 41,919 20,818 39,496 47,160 17,358 26,853


    Thanks





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  • desi3933
    02-03 07:15 AM
    Here is the text under the attachment section

    The record contains a letter from your prospective employer. The letter indicates that you have been employed by XXXXXX company as a Senior Software Engineer. However, the record does not contain any evidence which establishes the salary or compensation package being offered. Therefore you must submit a currently issued letter or other evidence from the prospective permanent employer indicating that the salary or compensation package being offered.

    PD Mar 2002
    485 RD SEP 2007

    Submit job offer letter indicating job title and salary for the GC job. The letter must also mention that this job is permanant.

    ____________________
    Not a legal advice.
    US Citizen of Indian Origin





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  • Jerrome
    07-13 08:30 AM
    Let us see the approvals trend till october. I am guessing the PD will move back to MID 2005 or 2004 by October for EB-2 India.





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  • alisa
    01-21 11:13 AM
    Assuming everyone stays the course, under these timelines

    1. At least 5% of applicants will be sponsored by their American children.
    2. Another 5% will have their first million and move to the investor's category.

    The timelines would be a maximum of 20 years or so, at which point people would be sponsored by their children.

    Ok. So thats a 10 percent decrease in accumulation rate.
    Lets add another 10 percent decrease to that. These will be 10 percent that commit suicide, suffer a lay-off, or just pack up and go back.
    So, the accumulation rate decreases to 15600, the initial backlogs from 2001, and 2002 also decreased to 80 percent their currently assumed values. Following are the results. Good news. Wait time decreases. Bad news, you still have to send your dependents back as we are not counting them.

    The timelines are now less than 20 years.

    For India. (ROW wait times are less than 5-10 years anyway according to this model)

    YApp YC(New) YC(Old)
    2001 2011 2013
    2002 2015 2018
    2003 2016 2020
    2004 2018 2022
    2005 2020 2024
    2006 2021 2026
    2007 2023 2028
    2008 2024 2030
    2009 2026 2032
    2010 2027 2034


    In anycase, there is a point to this exercise.

    I don't want to pull numbers out of my ass. I want to make a good faith effort in estimating what the wait times would be with things being the way they are. A reasonable model should show that for Indians, the situation is hopeless. For others, the situation is painful. The current model shows that. I just want to give this some time, and get the best feedback and incorporate that in it.

    Maybe, then I will be able to convince people (especially from India) to get active, and stop being ignoramuses asking innocently 'Oh! Is the situation really that bad?'

    If anyone has any ideas on modelling EB-2 vs EB-3 for India, that would also be helpful. Given some data, simple math should give us good enough estimates.



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  • jaane_bhi_do_yaaro
    08-10 08:18 PM
    That means EB2 India/China will see drastic movement this year....may be to end or 2007 or 2008?

    We need our messiah VLDRAO...
    He s the MANNNN...
    he predicted July 2007 fiasco and then he was the guy who fought for us...
    VLDRAOOO where are you...
    Please make dates current for everybody...





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  • sdudeja
    10-12 02:50 PM
    I-140, I485 Sent on 08/15/2007



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  • .soulty
    02-20 02:31 AM
    any progress on this?... i finally decided im not going to partipate.. seeing that other work needs to take priority but im still interested in peoples progression, and yes i know i said people should post before they are finished but hey the cats out of the bag already... so lets see them!!!.





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  • paskal
    07-16 06:18 PM
    only the media can do this for us
    they like exposes' don't they?
    now how can we get them interested
    would the nyt reporter that wrote a story on Numbers USA be interested in a follwo up on their tactics?



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  • gimme_GC2006
    07-15 11:09 AM
    wow this interesting so they are looking at cases which are current for August ...:)...

    did you change your address recently ??
    When did you get The Call.

    Thanks

    No changes in my status..not even phone company. :D

    It is not the first time we got call..our case have been moved to Local office sometime in 2008..since then we got calls few times..asking for this document..that document..verification..saying we are consolidating etc etc...

    Looks like they are doing something with cases for sure :cool:





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  • BharatPremi
    03-17 02:30 PM
    Thanks
    What I am saying is spill over from ROW goes to EB2 first. It does not split to EB2 and EB3 evenly. So more people from EB2 gets visa granted and thus people who joined EB2 bandwagon from EB3 and had earlier PD, they get Visa quickly. Now generally this spillover does not go to EB3 from EB2 having high demand from EB2 and thus EB3 get stuck with conventional numbers with 7% country limit and thus EB3 numbers move slowly. But if that spillover happens for both EB3 and 2 equally than EB3 can also move little bit quickly which is not the case. Thus shortening the queue by switching over to EB2 does not give full advantage to remained lot of EB3.



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  • styrum
    01-18 04:05 PM
    Looks like if you already have EAD that can be considered a "certificate of alien registration or alien registration receipt card issued to him pursuant to subsection (d) of this section". Then you don't need the passport or other forms. Those still on H1B but without EAD then must carry a passport with a valid I-94 detached from I797 and stapled to the passport or the entire I797 with I-94 still attached, or the I485 receipt.

    Interesting: Neither I-140 approval nor 485 receipt contain a new I-94. Moreover, I485 receipt explicitly says: "This notice does not grant any immigration status or benefit. it is not even evidence that this case is still pending. It only shows that the application or petition was filed on the date shown." So, if you have filed 485 but don't have an EAD (you haven't requested it or it has not arrived yet) and your H1B I-94 has expired already you can't prove your status! So, EAD is the one and only proof of status! Moreover, even with an EAD but without valid I-94 you may have problem proving your legal immigration status to those oficers who believe a non-resident alien must always have a valid I-94. Any experience proving your legal immigration status in this situation: previous I-94 (most likely H1B) expired, never entered on AP, but have a valid EAD?





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  • joydiptac
    06-08 08:31 PM
    Thanks Deepak for clearing the uncertainty. At least now I know my wait is 10 more years.
    Wonder how many more years I will be able to keep my EB3 Job and job description. :(
    This sort of slow torture is nothing less than "Curry Bashing" openly happening in Australia.
    (Source : http://bkhush.com/dev/content/lets-go-curry-bashing )

    The rate at which USCIS is denying H1B, L1 Extensions it EB 3- PD 2001 - Wait till 2015
    EB 3- PD 2002 - Wait till 2019
    EB 3- PD 2003 - Wait till 2024



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  • ppt.b
    06-11 11:49 AM
    ...





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  • thadipalam
    11-19 10:40 PM
    Hi lwpd,

    Is this true?
    "If you can, hold off until your I-140 gets approved. Once that happens, your 2003 priority date will stick and you can take it with you "

    Thanks
    -JB

    You guys won't believe how glad I am to read a few posts here where some people are standing up for themselves and refusing to take bullshit from certain lousy employers. This will send a message to those kinds of employers that they can't use the immigration system and treat employees like shit while continuing to profit from these hard-working people.

    abc, just one suggestion for you. If you can, hold off until your I-140 gets approved. Once that happens, your 2003 priority date will stick and you can take it with you ( USCIS internal I-140 adjudication manual for your reference ... http://www.uscis.gov/files/pressrel...h22_091206R.pdf )

    I wish you all the best with your life.

    lwpd



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  • nojoke
    09-17 10:50 PM
    This is no doubt a bad time for the US economy. However the world is not going to collapse. We will nearly certainly see a recession. Outside chance of a depression. The credit markets are frozen, confidence has been shaken, housing is searching for a bottom, unemployment has ticked up a percentage point so far, and the stock market is down about 20%.

    However, put that in the context of the great depression in the late 20s and into the early 30s. 25% unemployment, Widespread bank failures with no FDIC insurance, Many companies collapsed and people lost their life savings just by keeping it in the bank, Stock markets down by nearly 90%, people died of starvation! Yeah those things happened in this country. In fact, many observers attribute that experience for the extremely frugal nature of the elderly in this country, the so called great generation. Perhaps this will change current US attitudes away from consumption and toward savings. Perhaps entitlement reform will be fast tracked. We shall see.

    Things are bad. Structural changes are needed. The war must be ended and the resources redirected. Americans also need to adjust to the new realities in a globalizing world some of which are not particularly appealing.
    However also remember, the US has many geo-political advantages, control of a massive amount of natural resources, still the best R&D, an advanced industrial base, well developed infrastructure, and despite the current wall street mess no currency seems imminently capable of replacing the US dollar as the global reserve currency (hence giving the Federal reserve the enormous power of the printing press). Note that not a single currency has appreciated more than 5% viz a vie during this crisis. In fact Gold has outperformed all! Quite simply noone believes another economy is ready at this time.

    Hopefully the job market will not get too messy. The market will bottom in the next 6 months or so, once their is a complete clean out of the balance sheets. We are probably past the half way point in this. Exactly when it ends noone knows however.

    If you have savings consider putting it blue chip consumer staples, when you feel there is a bottom in stocks. Diversify internationally, Consider letting your wife go on a gold buying binge............:).

    Quit worrying, this too shall pass. This downturn will be longer than recent ones however. Might be measured in terms of a few years rather than months.

    It is not end of the world. But end of the economy as we know it. People smarter than me and you have said this is turning into an armageddon.





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  • sanju
    04-04 03:22 PM
    I still believe this bill may help reshape current mad behavior of H1B application.


    And how does "reshaping current mad behavior of H1B application" help fix green card backlog. Circulating debate around H-1b is the favorite trick of large IT companies. It is also the favorite trick of anti-green card reform groups like IEEE.

    IT IS ABUSED. Actually, this gives rep another excuse to anti-h1b-cap increasing. For whatever reason, ICC should be curbed.

    Just because the quota got over the first day it implies that the system is abused, right? Let me tell who is abused. People waiting for green card are abused. Not fixing green card delays and deliberately keeping the debate around H-1b is an abuse.



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  • hydboy77
    06-08 06:38 PM
    There is going to be no spillover to EB2 India at all because according to the thread "Employment-Based Visa Number Movement and Predictions - from current Murthy Bulletin" thread Mr. Oppenheim (the guy from the DOS who sets the visa bulletin) said that EB1, EB4 and Eb5 might also retrogress (that is have to a cut off date which means they will not be current). If EB1, EB2 and EB5 retrogress and there is no spillover from EB2 ROW and there is no spillover from Family based visas there will not be any spillover to Eb2 India at all. There is absoluetely no difference between Eb3 India and Eb2 India except that EB3 India will be stuck in 2001 and Eb2 India might be stuck either in 2002 or early 2003. We are screwed for ages to come. Dont give me red for bringing this harsh reality, I myself am depressed

    That "small change" of EB2 China PD is very important. It suggests that there is going to be "Spill over" so EB2 India and China will have to move together to use the unused numbers. A good sign; at least EB1 retrogression does not seem to be likely and there will be some spill over numbers to EB2 India (EB2 china may not benefit much as it had a PD later than that for the rest of the year.

    Scorpion: how can you say "no spill over". EB2ROW is current and so spill over is likely (more likely from EB1 and even to some extent from EB2 ROW)
    Moreover, EB2 ROW remained current meaning that they have not used all their quota; they will not use any spillover numbers and they may even provide spill over numbers to EB2 India and China.





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  • bigboy007
    06-10 08:43 PM
    I disagree that it effects EB Community for EAD holders. COming on to options if the amendment stands it might take the form of TARP - God Forbid. Everyone of us predicted Financial industry has so much clout etc.. but those days are gone. I think US companies have decided to bend to laws and find ways to overcome them.

    Reg. Options : we are here to earn bread. Just FYI for countries like Canada they have already closed gates. for Ppl who already have PR's over there life is not easy as "is" here right now in getting jobs. Moving the all operations to different country is only possible for companies like Microsoft. not all. btw no one will hire undocumented.

    So we need to really motivate ourselves and friends against this headless draft version. This is not first time it came in to light everytime there was a immigration issue it used to come on top. But it failed as climate was cordial for immigrants or economy was good. Things have changed far far beyond in 2008 and TARP bill restrictions is one example where companies decided not to hire H1B at all (mostly) even it applies to TARP recipients.

    My thoughts.

    Guys,

    Don't fire up on my comments given below.

    I agree that ALL of us irrespective of EB category will be impacted if this proposed bill becomes a law.
    Just step back and think for a minute, what is the impact on the US companies due to inability of his bright workers to continue working in US? Will US businesses sit tight without raising any concerns? No way...
    This is just an eyewash to get political mileage. No matter what degree of love-hate relationship exists between voters and politicians. Certainly, political power cannot, and never will, have a brazen bill such as this, that will hurt American economy more than anything.
    Let's assume for a moment that hypothetically this becomes law...
    What will we do? Some of common options:
    - Move to immigrant friendly country, OR
    - Return to mother land, OR
    - Company will move its operation, and you, to continue its operations, OR
    - look at alternate legal ways to stay in this country until situation changes, OR
    - Become undocumented alien :D

    Guys, we still have options but US of A has too much at stake to make this text into a law.

    Please don't get me wrong, I am in the same boat as all of you. It's just my 2 cents.

    bhattji





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  • jsb
    08-15 04:26 PM
    What do EB cutoff dates in Sept VB mean? All eligible for filing AOS did in July/Aug. Does it mean that USCIS will be giving visa (approving GC) to those within the new cutoff dates?





    piyu7444
    01-31 04:39 PM
    Well, you did not disclose before that she has pending I-485. That changes the whole scenario and provides lot more options.

    She should change her status to AOS only by filing a new I-9 (provide EAD details) with her employer ASAP. This will cover her any period of unpaid leave (or benching). She can get back to H1 status by re-entering on H1 visa.

    ____________________
    Not a legal advice.
    US Citizen of Indian Origin

    Thanks a lot Desi3933. I dont have words to thank you...

    Another question - Once she gets on EAD does she have to get paid for 'x' number of period (Say 15 day or a month0 on EAD? And then when she re-enters on h1b (Nov 15 2009) then she will get paid from Nov 15 - Dec 31, so for year 2009 she will just have Jan month and 15 Nov till Dec 31 2009 on w-2. Is that fine since all the other time she was on EAD or out of country.





    485InDreams
    09-26 10:19 AM
    Thanks all and to the blogger who found this.... This thread make me believe...

    Revolution - People of common interest meet...
    Collusion - People of different interest meet



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